The Daily Shot Brief – February 7th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Job cut announcements edged higher in January.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: Companies are increasing their forecasts for output price gains.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

India: The RBI finally cut rates.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: CNBC

 

Cryptocurrency: Assets under management in US Bitcoin ETFs have soared over the past year, although recently, demand has cooled.

Source: @markets

 

Commodities: Copper broke above a seven-month-long downtrend.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: The iShares MSCI Momentum ETF is testing a key trendline resistance.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: A sharp drop in kindergarten vaccination rates for measles, polio, and whooping cough:

Source: The New York Times

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – February 6th, 2025

Greetings,

 

Equities: The rise in the S&P 500 last year was one of the strongest since 1928 and was mostly driven by valuation expansion.

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

Credit: Leveraged loan issuance saw its strongest January in over a decade as loan spreads keep tightening.

Source: Vincent Daigger, Lara Wieczezynski, @TheTerminal, Bloomberg Finance L.P.   Read full article

 

The United States: The trade deficit neared $100 billion in December as imports surged.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: Newsweek   Read full article

 

Canada: Canada’s trade balance swung into surplus for the first time in ten months.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @WSJ   Read full article  

 

Emerging Markets: Ukraine’s bond prices are soaring on hopes of a potential end to the war.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @bpolitics   Read full article

 

Commodities: Gold lease rates have surged to multi-year highs, reflecting extreme tightness in the market as traders rush to secure bullion ahead of potential US tariffs.

Source: @markets   Read full article

 

Food for Thought: Generative AI adoption outpaces prior technologies.

Source: Gavekal Research

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – February 5th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: US job openings dropped in December, falling short of expectations.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: CNBC

 

Japan: The yen strengthened in response to wage growth data, with dollar-yen nearing its 200-day moving average.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: Services growth slowed last month.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: Companies generating a significant share of revenue from government sales have been outperforming.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Commodities: Gold reached another record high.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: Homelessness rates across OECD countries:

Source: @LatamData

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – February 4th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: If the newly announced tariffs take effect, US tariff levels could revert to those last seen in the 1940s, marking a significant shift in trade policy.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research  

 

According to the ISM Manufacturing PMI, US factory activity returned to growth in January.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: How did the market respond to tariff risks on Monday?

Source: The Daily Shot

 

This chart shows the impact of previous US trade war announcements on S&P 500 volatility.

Source: Barclays Research  

 

China: China’s household consumption remains unusually low as a share of GDP compared to both upper-middle and high-income economies, highlighting a structural imbalance in domestic demand.

Source: BofA Global Research  

 

Cryptocurrency: Tariff announcements weighed on bitcoin.

Source: @KaikoData  

 

Commodities: Gold hit a record high.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: Hawaiian Airlines leads US in on-time arrivals.

Source: @chartrdaily  

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – February 3rd, 2025

Greetings,

 

Canada: Which sectors in Canada are most vulnerable to US tariffs?

Source: S&P Global Ratings  

 

Emerging Markets: Which sectors in Mexico are most exposed to tariffs.

Source: S&P Global Ratings  

 

The Eurozone: Demand for downside protection on the euro surged relative to upside protection.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: BBC   Read full article  

 

The United States: Importers have been getting ready for tariffs.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: Manufacturing growth is stalling as employment contracts.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: Caixin Global    Read full article  

 

Global Developments: Last month’s bond performance:

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: Shipments of Champagne:

Source: @JeffreyKleintop  

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – January 31st, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Consumer spending accelerated, driven by households rushing to front-run tariffs.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: Stocks continue to surge.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Japan: The unemployment rate declined.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Commodities: Gold prices hit a record high amid trade uncertainty.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: Financials are seeing strong inflows.

Source: BofA Global Research

 

Food for Thought: Homeowners without insurance by state:

Source: Semafor

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – January 30th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Economists and the market anticipate two Fed rate cuts this year.

Source: @TheTerminal, Bloomberg Finance L.P.  
Source: @TheTerminal, Bloomberg Finance L.P.  

 

Credit: Short bets on HY ETFs have been rising.

Source: @markets   Read full article  

 

Equities: The average lifespan of companies in the S&P 500 has been declining, dropping from nearly 35 years in the late 1960s to just over 18 years projected for the 2020s. This trend underscores the accelerating pace of disruption and turnover among market leaders.

Source: BofA Global Research  

 

Japan: The BoJ’s lending program has steadily expanded, reaching ¥80 trillion, but is now set to wind down as part of its broader balance sheet reduction. This marks a significant step toward policy normalization after years of aggressive monetary easing.

Source: @economics   Read full article  

 

Emerging Markets: Brazil’s central bank delivered another 100 bps rate hike.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @WSJ   Read full article  

 

Food for Thought: DeepSeek app downloads:

Source: Goldman Sachs; @MikeZaccardi  

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – January 29th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: The Conference Board’s consumer sentiment indicator declined again this month.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The Eurozone: Will German bankruptcies peak as borrowing costs turn lower?

Source: @JeffreyKleintop

 

Cryptocurrency: Here is a timeline of crypto developments over the past year and what lies ahead.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

 

Commodities: Will copper catch up to gold’s rally?

Source: Aazan Habib, Paradigm Capital

 

Equities: Investors re-entered tech on Tuesday after Monday’s AI-fueled rout.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @markets

 

Food for Thought: Population changes by state:

Source: @StatisticUrban

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – January 28th, 2025

Greetings,

 

Equities: Although the selloff was sharp, it remained narrowly focused. The losses were concentrated in the tech sector, especially semiconductors.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Stock-bond correlations were negative on Monday, with bonds acting as a hedge again.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: Tech stocks are outperforming.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @business   Read full article

 

Alternatives: Here is a look at startup founding team ownership shares across VC funding rounds.

Source: Carta

 

Emerging Markets: Brazil consumer confidence deteriorated this month.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: Reuters   Read full article

 

The United Kingdom: Food prices jumped this month.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @economics   Read full article

 

Food for Thought: AI model performance scores:

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: @technology   Read full article

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – January 27th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: According to S&P Global, US factory activity resumed growth this month.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: The UK manufacturing contraction eased somewhat this month.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Asia-Pacific: Singapore’s factories finished the year on a strong note, with the December industrial production topping expectations.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: Non-manufacturing growth is stalling.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: US futures are tanking this morning.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: UnitedHealth Group FY24 income statement breakdown:

Source: r/DataIsBeautiful

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com