The Daily Shot Brief – June 16th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for June jumped 8.3 points to 60.5, well above the 53.5 consensus. According to the University of Michigan’s analysis, the improvement suggests that “Consumers appear to have settled somewhat from the shock of the extremely high tariffs announced in April and the policy volatility seen in the weeks that followed.” Both the current conditions (63.7 vs. 59.4 consensus) and expectations (58.4 vs. 49.0 consensus) subindices posted strong beats.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Canada: The loonie continues to strengthen against the USD.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Europe: The Norwegian krone has strengthened against the euro, buoyed by rising energy prices.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Credit: Loans from US commercial banks to non-bank financial institutions have more than doubled since 2020, now exceeding $1.25 trillion. This sharp rise underscores the deepening entanglement between traditional banks and shadow banking, amplifying systemic risk.

Source: The Economist   Read full article  

 

Energy: Brent registered its 19th-largest weekly climb since 1988, …

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

… but is holding below $75/bbl.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Equities: Deutsche Bank’s positioning index has been inching higher but remains in underweight territory.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

 

Food for Thought: Average monthly residential electric utility bill:

Source: @EIAgov   Read full article   

 


Edited by Abraham Lent

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 12th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: The May CPI print was notably soft, with both headline and core figures coming in well below forecasts.

Source: TheDailyShot
Source: TheDailyShot

 

The United Kingdom: The UK housing market remains sluggish, according to the May RICS report.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Emerging Markets: Mexico’s factory output fell below last year’s levels but remained relatively strong in April.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Rates: Deutsche Bank expects a Fed rate cut in December, followed by two more cuts in Q1 2026.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

 

Commodities: Broad commodities remain near record lows relative to the S&P 500.

Source: Longview Economics

 

Equities: The put-call ratio has been trending lower, reflecting waning demand for downside protection.

Source: @WallStJesus

 

Food for Thought: Largest CEO compensation packages in 2024 by pay component:

Source: @WSJ   Read full article 

 


Edited by Abraham Lent

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 11th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Small business uncertainty remains elevated.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: Gilt yields fell after the employment report.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Emerging Markets: Brazil’s consumer inflation eased in May while the core CPI held steady.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Cryptocurrency: The total crypto stablecoin market cap has crossed $262 billion.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Commodities: Platinum prices continue to surge.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: The relative downtrend in US small-caps has narrowed with signs of improving momentum.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: Disney operating income by segment:

Source: @chartrdaily

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 10th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Morgan Stanley forecasts a continued slowdown in US nominal consumption growth through 2026, with particular weakness in goods spending due to tariff-driven inflation, labor market softening, and increased consumer uncertainty.

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

 

The Eurozone: Despite making up just 4% of the Eurozone economy, Ireland contributed half of the region’s GDP growth over the past year.

Source: @DanielKral1

 

Asia-Pacific: Taiwan’s exports surged in May.

Source: TheDailyShot
Source:@WSJ   Read full article

 

Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin’s surge above $106K triggered a spike in short liquidations within just a few hours.

Source: @glassnode

 

Commodities: Systematic funds have reduced their exposure to gold, slightly diverging from the metal’s price rise.

Source: Menthor Q

 

Equities: Options traders are bullish on the Russell 2000.

Source: Morgan Stanley Research; @WallStJesus

 

Food for Thought: Acceptance rates at top US universities:

Source: Towards Data Science

 


Edited by Abraham Lent

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 9th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: The unemployment rate held steady.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: The EU remains the UK’s dominant trade partner, accounting for over 40% of total exports.

Source: Nomura Securities

 

China: Deflation in producer prices intensified.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: Deutsche Bank’s positioning index continues to rebound.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

 

Global Developments: Equity ETFs (USD):

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Food for Thought: Who US consumers have discussed their credit card debt with:

Source: LendingTree

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 6th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Job cut announcements eased in May.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: Construction activity remains sluggish.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

India: Stocks jumped.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: Here is a look at breadth across S&P 500 sectors.

Source: @LizzAnnSonders

 

Credit: Who owns US corporate bonds?

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

 

Food for Thought: Frequency of Americans consulting astrology, tarot cards, or fortune tellers:

Source: Pew Research Center

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 5th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Mortgage applications continue to track 2023 levels.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Canada: CAD/USD held long-term support with improving momentum and a reduction in extreme short positioning.

Source: Aazan Habib, Paradigm Capital

 

Europe: Sweden’s services PMI beat expectations, returning to expansion.

Source: TheDailyShot

 

Equities: Wall Street’s year-end 2025 S&P 500 targets have shifted decisively higher, with several strategists now projecting gains of 10% or more as tariff concerns ease.

Source: Yahoo Finance   Read full article

 

Credit: Community banks have seen a dramatic decline in both count and asset share over the past four decades. As Michelle Bowman assumes the Fed’s top regulatory role with a pro-community bank stance, attention will turn to whether her deregulatory approach can arrest this long-standing consolidation trend.

Source: : Bloomberg   Read full article  

 

Food for Thought: Usage of social media platforms among US adults:

Source: Semafor

 


Edited by Abraham Lent

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 4th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Job openings increased in April, topping expectations.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Asia-Pacific: South Korea’s CPI in May unexpectedly fell below 2%.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Commodities: China’s coking coal futures remain under pressure amid a decline in domestic steel demand.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Equities: Here is a comparison of borrowing costs for small-cap companies and S&P 500 firms.

Source: Goldman Sachs; @MikeZaccardi

 

Credit: Most business development companies (BDCs) that obtain loans from the largest US banks are rated BBB or higher.

Source: Boston Fed

 

Food for Thought: Share of respondents who regularly drink tea or coffee by country:

Source: Statista

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 3rd, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: The employment index held in contraction territory.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The United Kingdom: Home prices rebounded in May.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Emerging Markets: Mexico’s manufacturing activity remains in recession.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Energy: Solar curtailments in California surged in 2024, with spring showing the most excess as midday solar output outpaced demand and transmission constraints limited exports. Despite record battery deployment and real-time trading gains via the Western Energy Imbalance Market, structural oversupply and grid inflexibility continue to force large volumes of solar offline.

Source: @EIAgov

 

Equities: US earnings revisions have rebounded more quickly than those in the rest of the world.

Source: UBS Research; @WallStJesus

 

Food for Thought: How workers “look busy” during the workday:

Source: Ivanti

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

The Daily Shot Brief – June 2nd, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: Real incomes excluding government transfers rose 0.3%.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The Eurozone: An ECB rate cut this week is fully priced in.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: The non-manufacturing sector showed modest growth.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Energy: Bearish Brent bets have been rising.

Source: Bloomberg

 

Equities: Here is a look at valuations for key US indices.

Source: Goldman Sachs; @MikeZaccardi

 

Food for Thought: US Google search trends for life skills from 2010 to 2025:

Source: @chartrdaily

 


Edited by Josh Oldmixon

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com