The Daily Shot Brief – September 25th, 2018

Greetings,

 

The United States: Worker strikes are on the rise.

Source: WSJ.com, h/t Paul Menestrier; Read full article

 

Emerging Markets: Regulated items (in which the authorities rather than the market control price changes) have been pushing inflation higher in Mexico. The market-based CPI, however, has been moving lower. The overall core CPI remains within the central bank’s target range.

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

China: Corporate earnings forecasts for China’s companies are getting a substantial downward adjustment.

Source: IIF

 

The Eurozone: Germany’s business sentiment in September has been stronger than expected. Here is the Ifo Business Climate index.

Source: ifo Institute; Read full article

 

Equities: More firms are issuing negative earnings guidance this quarter.

Source: @LizAnnSonders, @FactSet

And analysts are turning a bit more cautious on corporate profits. This chart shows Bloomberg’s consensus estimate of the S&P 500 earnings per share for the next twelve months.

Source: @TheTerminal

 

Energy: OPEC is forecasting a decline in the OECD nations’ demand for crude oil. However, it is more than offset by robust demand from emerging economies (second chart below), resulting in positive demand growth globally over the next five years (no “peak demand” for now).

Source: OPEC; Read full article

 

Emerging Markets: Regulated items (in which the authorities rather than the market control price changes) have been pushing inflation higher in Mexico. The market-based CPI, however, has been moving lower. The overall core CPI remains within the central bank’s target range.

Source: Goldman Sachs

Food for Thought: Education attainment by religious affiliation:

Source: @FactTank; Read full article

 

Edited by Paul Menestrier


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