The Daily Shot Brief – September 27th, 2022

Greetings,

 

The United States: First, most economic indicators experience varying degrees of positive growth during the two quarters prior to a recession. However, immediately following the onset of a recession, all indicators simultaneously decline.

Source: St. Louis Fed  Read full article

 

The drawdown in US equity and fixed income markets has been extreme.

Source: Gavekal Research

 

Equities: The percentage of S&P 500 names trading above their 50-day moving average is at extreme lows (typically pointing to a market bounce).

Source: @TheTerminal, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

 

Rates: Treasury market implied volatility (MOVE) continues to outpace the equities vol (VIX).

Source: The Daily Shot

 

The Eurozone: The Ifo report showed Germany’s business expectations hitting extreme lows.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: The current property market downturn in China has been the worst on record.

Source: Pantheon Macroeconomics

 

Commodities: The strong dollar and weaker economic growth have triggered a cyclical decline in commodity prices.

Source: Alpine Macro

 

Food for Thought:  Lastly, here is weekday bedtime among US adults:

Source: @CivicScience  Read full article

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com


If you would like to subscribe to the full-length Daily Shot (see example), please register here.

Leave a Reply