The Daily Shot Brief – March 12th, 2019



The United States: Small business sentiment eased this year.

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce


The Eurozone: The ECB’s liftoff expectations have been pushed further out. The second chart below shows a forecast for the central bank’s policy rates (from Pictet Wealth Management).

Source: Pictet Wealth Management


Equities: Will margin growth deteriorate over the next couple of years?

Source: BlackRock


China: Goldman’s market-implied growth indicator:

Source: Goldman Sachs


Global Developments: Economic surprise indices tumbled in recent months.

Source: SunTrust Advisory Services


Food for Thought: How long do recessions last?

Source: @adam_tooze




Edited by Joseph Cohen

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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen),, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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