The Daily Shot Brief – March 27th, 2018




The United States: Moody’s forecasts US defense spending to be significantly higher than the CBO’s. This is bad news for the federal deficit over the next few years.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service


Equity Markets: US stock-market implied volatility remains elevated relative to other markets. This scatter-plot shows the Nations VolDex index (VIX-equivalent for SPY) vs. CVIX (the VIX-equivalent for currencies) over the last couple of years.

Source: Bloomberg


Rates: Last week investors exited US stock funds. But they also continued to get out of long-term Treasuries. Given Tuesday’s bond rally, will this week be different?

Source: Bianco Research


Energy Markets: This chart shows the composition of US LNG exports.

Source: @EIAgov; Read full article


The Eurozone: Here, we have the EU’s largest trading partners.

Source: @markets; Read full article


Global Developments: Here is a forecast for the key central bank rates over the next couple of years.

Source: Capital Economics


Food for Thought:The US spends way more than peers on defense (with borrowed money).

Source: Moody’s Investors Service



Edited by Joseph N Cohen

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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen),, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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