The Daily Shot Brief – July 31st, 2018

Greetings,

 

The United States: This chart shows what portion of the second-quarter GDP growth can be attributed to the federal government stimulus as well as the pre-tariffs export burst.

Source: Steven Rattner ; Read full article

Here are the key drivers of growth over the past few years.

Source: Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors

 

China: China’s offshore bond yields are still climbing.

Source: Natixis

 

Rates: Here is the Capital Economics’ forecast for central bank rates over the next couple of years.

Source: Capital Economics

 

Equity Markets: The demand for tech downside protection sent the QQQ (Nasdaq 100) skew to record highs.

Source: Bloomberg

 

Emerging Markets: Here are the CIBC forecasts for Mexcian and Brazilian inflation and central bank rates over the next 12 months (unfortunately the colors are inconsistent between the two charts).

Source: CIBC Capital Markets

 


Food for Thought: Tesla’s Model 3 is outselling other luxury cars in the US.

Source: Forbes, Statista; Read full article

 

 

 

Edited by Joseph Cohen


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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen), Ycharts.com, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Editor@DailyShotLetter.com

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