The Daily Shot Brief – January 14th, 2025

Greetings,

 

The United States: This is the second longest streak of continuous payroll gains since 1939.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research  

 

Betting markets have sharply reduced the likelihood of a recession this year following the election.

Source: Kalshi  

 

Equities: The options market is anticipating record-high earnings reactions, with implied single-stock moves outpacing broader market volatility.

Source: BofA Global Research  
Source: @markets   Read full article  

 

The sharp drop in funding spreads reflects reduced demand for equity derivatives. Institutional investors, including pension funds and hedge funds, appear to have shifted to net selling amid evolving Fed rate expectations.

Source: Goldman Sachs; @markets   Read full article  

 

The Eurozone:  French bond spreads remain elevated amid political budget uncertainty.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: POLITICO   Read full article  

 

India: The rupee has been under pressure.

Source: The Daily Shot
Source: Reuters   Read full article  

 

Japan: Japan’s stock/bond correlation remains elevated, which typically occurs during periods of high inflation.

Source: State Street Global Advisors   Read full article  

 

Food for Thought: Grocery retailers’ market share:

Source: The Economist   Read full article  

Edited by William Villacis

Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Brief@DailyShotResearch.com




 

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