The Daily Shot Brief – February 28th, 2018

Greetings,

 

 

The United States: The growth in household wealth in the US has been extremely uneven. The best illustration of this trend is the difference between the median and the mean household net worth. Some economists suggest that the new tax bill will widen this gap further.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service

 

Equity Markets: Goldman’s “bad case” scenario has the 10yr Treasury yield climbing to 4.5%. That move, according to the bank, would translate into a 20% – 25% drop in stock prices.

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

Credit: Here is the Moody’s European covenant quality indicator (E-CQI) for sub-investment-grade bonds. Creditor protections continue to worsen.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service

 

Eurozone: Credit conditions in the Eurozone have improved markedly in recent months.

Source: Goldman Sachs

 

United Kingdom: The UK household sentiment remains below the levels we saw prior to the EU Referendum.

Source: @Danske_Research

 

Emerging Markets: Given the declining inflation indicators in Brazil, will we see another central bank rate cut (SELIC target rate)?

Source: Pantheon Macroeconomics

 


Food for Thought: Corporate taxes across select economies, including subnational (state) taxes.

Source: Scotiabank Economics

 

 

Edited by Joseph N Cohen


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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen), Ycharts.com, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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