The Daily Shot Brief – October 9th, 2018



The United States: Models show that the probability of a recession next year has diminished (pushed out to 2020).

Source: @markets; Read full article


Rates: The probability of three Fed rate hikes in 2019 keeps climbing.

Source: @acemaxx, @KarstenJunius


China: F/X forwards continue to point to a weaker yuan ahead.

Source: @TheTerminal


The Eurozone: Despite higher oil prices, the Eurozone’s long-term market-based inflation expectations continue to drift lower.

Source: The Daily Shot


Equities: The smaller the stocks, the more pain in October:

Source: @bespokeinvest


Credit: Private credit funds continue to raise more capital.

Source: @apark_, @preqin


Emerging Markets: Which countries’ markets rely heavily on US investors?

Source: IIF


Food for Thought: Who makes the parts for iPhone-X?

Source: Lazard Asset Management; Read full article




Edited by Joseph Cohen

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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen),, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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