The Daily Shot Brief – May 31st, 2019

Greetings,

 

The United States: Intermodal railcar loadings point to persistent weakness in industrial production.

Source: Yardeni Research

 

The Eurozone: The market is increasingly pricing in lower policy rates from the ECB. Are investors too dovish?

Source: Danske Bank

 

EquitiesThe US – Mexico manufacturing supply chains are highly integrated, with two-thirds of US imports taking place intra-company (between factories owned by the same firm). Some manufactured items cross the border more than once, which will become cost-prohibitive. Moreover, Mexico may retaliate.

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

Stock futures retreated after the announcement.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Emerging Markets: The Chilean peso continues to retreat amid weak copper prices.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

Global Developments: The ‘full-blown’ trade war will trigger a global recession.

Source: Moody’s Analytics

Food for Thought: Discount stores vs. department stores:

Source: Pantheon Macroeconomics

 

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Edited by Joseph N Cohen

 

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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen), Ycharts.com, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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