The Daily Shot Brief – February 25th, 2019



The United States: Many analysts are predicting that the next rate change by the Fed will be a cut. Will the easing of trade tensions with China change this view?

Source: Natixis


The Eurozone: Based on historical PMI “price pressure” responses (and falling inflation expectations above), the ECB should be easing in the current environment.

Source: @fwred


Equities: Investors are taking advantage of low implied vol on VIX (above) and buying up VIX call options to protect this year’s sharp gains in stocks.

Source: Credit Suisse


China: This chart shows China’s home price appreciation by tier.

Source: Goldman Sachs


Global Developments: This chart shows the lags between central bank rate peaks and recessions.

Source: Oxford Economics


Food for Thought: Electric cars by country (% of total vehicles):

Source: Moody’s Investors Service




Edited by Joseph Cohen

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Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen),, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.

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