Greetings,
The United States: Many analysts are predicting that the next rate change by the Fed will be a cut. Will the easing of trade tensions with China change this view?
The Eurozone: Based on historical PMI “price pressure” responses (and falling inflation expectations above), the ECB should be easing in the current environment.
Equities: Investors are taking advantage of low implied vol on VIX (above) and buying up VIX call options to protect this year’s sharp gains in stocks.
China: This chart shows China’s home price appreciation by tier.
Global Developments: This chart shows the lags between central bank rate peaks and recessions.
Food for Thought: Electric cars by country (% of total vehicles):
Edited by Joseph Cohen
To receive the Daily Shot Premium, you need to be a subscriber to The Wall Street Journal. The Daily Shot readers qualify for a special membership offer of $1 for 2 months and can join simply by clicking here.
If you are already a WSJ member, you can sign up for The Daily Shot at our Email Center by clicking here.
The Daily Shot Premium is also available online at DailyShotWSJ.com
If you have any issues at all, please contact a Customer Service representative by calling 1-800-JOURNAL (1-800-568-7625) or sending an email to support@wsj.com.
Thanks to Josh Marte (@joshdigga), Matt Garrett (@MattGarrett3), Joseph Cohen (@josephncohen), Ycharts.com, S&P Global, and Moody’s Investors Service for helping with the research for the Daily Shot.
We would also like to thank the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis for the incredible job they have done providing data and graphics to the public. Here is the credit and legal notice related to all FRED charts: FRED® Graphs ©Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. All rights reserved. All FRED® Graphs appear courtesy of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
Contact the Daily Shot Editor: Editor@DailyShotLetter.com